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Somalia's Political Cycle of Betrayal: From Mubarak to Saacid – History Repeats Itself
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Tuesday November 11, 2025 - 16:56:22 in Latest News by Super Admin
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By Dahir Alasow | Investigative Journalist
In the Middle East and Africa, politics has often been a theater of betrayal — where allies turn against each other, and power devours its own makers.
The stories of Egypt's Hosni Mubarak, Mohamed Morsi, and Abdel Fattah el-Sisi mirror a political pattern that is now re-emerging in Somalia.
The Egyptian Lesson
In 2006, Egypt’s long-time ruler Hosni Mubarak imprisoned Mohamed Morsi, a rising Islamist figure in the Muslim Brotherhood.
Five years later, during the 2011 Arab Spring uprising that toppled Mubarak, Morsi emerged as one of the revolutionary heroes and was later elected president.
Ironically, Morsi appointed Abdel Fattah el-Sisi as his Minister of Defense — the very man who, only a year later, would overthrow him in a military coup, imprison him, and release Mubarak.
Morsi died in the same prison where he had once locked up Mubarak’s allies — a grim reminder that power in the region often comes full circle, consuming both ruler and rebel alike.
Somalia’s Déjà Vu
Somalia’s political scene today mirrors that Egyptian tragedy.
In 2012, Abdikarin Hussein Guled and Fahad Yasin played key roles in the election of President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud.
Once in office, Hassan appointed Abdi Farah Shirdon "Saacid” as Prime Minister. Saacid, in turn, made Abdikarin his Minister of Interior and National Security.
But in a cruel twist of political fate, Abdikarin and Fahad led the parliamentary motion that ousted Saacid in 2013 — the very man who had elevated them to power.
Two years later, in 2015, Abdikarin again took part in another motion — this time against the government in which Duale Adan served as Minister of Culture and Higher Education.
The Cycle of Somali Politics
Fast forward to 2017. Fahad Yasin and Thabit Abdi Mohamed (Taabit) were instrumental in electing Mohamed Abdullahi "Farmaajo” as president.
Once in power, Farmaajo rewarded them: Fahad became Chief of Staff at Villa Somalia, and Taabit was appointed Mayor of Mogadishu and Governor of Banadir Region.
Yet again, history repeated itself.
Fahad engineered Taabit’s dismissal, and when Taabit resisted, Minister of Security Mohamed Abukar Islow "Duale” deployed police forces around his residence.
By 2020, Fahad was also a key player in the no-confidence motion that brought down the government in which Islow himself served.
The Union of the Fallen and the Betrayers
Now, in 2025, these same figures — Saacid, Abdikarin, Fahad, Taabit, Islow, and Duale — have reunited under a new political umbrella:
"Midowga Haybad Qaran” (The National Prestige Union).
Their stated goal is to "rescue Somalia” and back Saacid as the presidential candidate for 2026.
But to many observers, it is a stunning irony — a coalition of both victims and architects of each other’s downfall.
Politics as a Mirror of Moral Decline
Years ago, a Russian escort once told a journalist when asked about her political ambitions:
"Politics is deception, betrayal, hypocrisy, corruption, and endless manipulation. I don’t want to ruin my reputation by getting into it.”
Her words could just as easily describe the political landscape of Somalia today — a world where yesterday’s betrayers become tomorrow’s allies, and loyalty lasts only until the next cabinet reshuffle.
Conclusion
From Mubarak to Morsi, from Saacid to Fahad, the script is the same — written by ambition, betrayal, and revenge.
Somalia’s "Union of Prestige” may present itself as a movement for unity and progress, but its very foundation lies in a cycle of mutual destruction that has defined Somali politics for decades.
Until that cycle is broken, history will keep repeating — only with new names and old mistakes.
© Sunatimes.com – Exclusive Analysis by Dahir Abdulle Alasow
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Somalia's Political Cycle of Betrayal: From Mubarak to Saacid – History Repeats Itself
By Dahir Alasow | Investigative Journalist In the Middle East and Africa, politics has often been a theater of betrayal — where allies turn against each other, and power devours its own makers. The stories of Egypt's Hosni Mubarak, Moham